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Republican Primary Poll: August 10-19, 2015

Republican Primary Poll: August 10-19, 2015

by Civis Analytics

As featured in the New York Times, the Civis Analytics Research Team conducted a survey of the Republican Primary of 757 self-identified Republican or Republican-leaning adults across the country. You can read more about our findings in Why Donald Trump Won’t Fold: Polls and People Speak by Michael Barbaro, Nate Cohn, and Jeremy W. Peters from Sunday August 23, 2015...

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How Forecasting Revolutionized Election Resource Allocation

by Jesse S.

How can we predict voter outcome to help manage our outreach resources? We used our Golden program to perform 60,000 daily simulations to remove polling biases and keep us as accurate as possible during the 2012 Obama re-election campaign. Summary Challenge Campaign decision makers work in a data rich environment. Internal metrics, consultant pollsters, and public polling inundate campaigns, but...

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