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‘Uninsured:’ How One Word Can Bias Your Survey Results

by Kayla B.

Words matter—especially words in survey questions. They can make the difference between getting good data, bad data, and mystery data. Exhibit A: the word “uninsured.” The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has helped millions of Americans secure health insurance. But a recent NPR poll asked about the law’s effect on the total number of Americans who have health insurance, and about...

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Putting the Power of Campaign Targeting in Your Hands: VoteWithMe

Putting the Power of Campaign Targeting in Your Hands: VoteWithMe

by David S.

A few weeks ago, I was canvassing in New Hampshire to knock on the doors of strangers and ask them to make a plan to vote. See – I’m a data scientist, and I don’t know what you know about data scientists, but we’re not the most extroverted creatures. That’s when I had the idea, “How much more effective would...

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In first debate, Clinton – ‘Professional’, Trump – ‘Bully’

In first debate, Clinton – ‘Professional’, Trump – ‘Bully’

by Nick A.

Last Monday night, more Americans than ever before tuned in to watch the first presidential debate, and we at Civis did too. And while we were as interested in the back-and-forth between Clinton and Trump as anyone, we were most excited to see voters’ reactions in the following days. That’s when we turned to our social science team to field...

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It was #AlwaysTrump

It was #AlwaysTrump

by Nick A.

Tuesday night all but officially certified Donald Trump as the Republican nominee for president. While Cruz and Kasich’s announcements were surprising to many (including us), they confirm what the data has been telling us since we started polling on the Republican primary in August of last year: Donald Trump was always going to be the nominee. The time-series above shows...

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Foreign policy, guns, celebrities, and reality TV: an analysis of Republican Twitter follower interests

Foreign policy, guns, celebrities, and reality TV: an analysis of Republican Twitter follower interests

by Michael H.

This post was co-authored with Keith Ingersoll and Jesse Stinebring, along with support from Macromeasures. We’re always curious about how new platforms change people’s political expression, and, of course, whether we can develop new instruments to measure these opinions. On social media platforms, users aren’t anchored to a distinct, real identity we can match back to a voter file, which...

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Viewing the US Presidential Primary Through the Lens of Twitter

Viewing the US Presidential Primary Through the Lens of Twitter

by Civis Analytics

Some of our work on social media analytics was highlighted in a recent Wall Street Journal article, and it gives us a great opportunity to talk about some of the methods we use for making sense of the Twitter firehose. Civis Analytics takes a different approach from many companies in that we have a general methodology for imposing interpretable structure...

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Data Science on State of the Union Addresses: Obama (2016) vs. Obama (2015) vs. … vs. George Washington (1790)

Data Science on State of the Union Addresses: Obama (2016) vs. Obama (2015) vs. … vs. George Washington (1790)

by Michael H.

Barack Obama recently gave his final State of the Union address, and since we’re interested in analyzing text data at Civis Analytics, I figured I ought to see if I could discover anything interesting. Rather than trying to understand the conversation on social media as we’ve done in previous work, I decided to take a somewhat longer view, comparing the...

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Connect the Civis Platform to Google Sheets: Let Your Drive Be Part of Your Data-Driven Culture

Connect the Civis Platform to Google Sheets: Let Your Drive Be Part of Your Data-Driven Culture

by Civis Analytics

Civis Analytics helps organizations across sectors use data science to improve outcomes. While working across multiple engagements and sectors, we’ve determined the most successful organizations invite their entire team to participate in building a data-driven culture by setting every employee’s sights on central metrics. Many of these successful organizations complement big data with Google Sheets, as they allow employees outside...

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The Republican Primary So Far, in One GIF

The Republican Primary So Far, in One GIF

by Nick A.

Today, the New York Times featured some of our polling data and proprietary algorithm results and their implications for the Republican primary race ““ a mostly under-the-hood look at Donald Trump’s coalition. We wanted to give a bit of a different look at the same data at a local level, showing how support for the Republican candidates has changed over...

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